Game 4 Spread Largest Deficit for Dubs Since 2019

  • The Golden State Warriors are facing their longest spread deficit in Game 4 of the 2022 NBA Finals.
  • At +4 points, that is the largest odds that Golden State has faced since being listed at +7.5 points against the Houston Rockets in Game 6 of the 2019 Western Conference Finals.
  • The Celtics are now a +200 favorite to win the series in Game 6.

The Boston Celtics answered with a strong Game 3 effort against the Golden State Warriors.

One game after the Warriors knotted the 2022 NBA Finals at one game apiece, the Celtics came out firing in front of their home crowd at took a double-digit lead in the first quarter and at the half. Golden State stormed back to start the second half and they were able to take an 83-82 lead in the 3rd period but Boston showed resilience and pulled away for good for a 120-108 win.

With the Celtics up in the series 2-1, Golden State is staring at its longest playoff odds in three years.

Warriors +4 in Game 4

The Warriors have opened as +4 point underdogs in Friday’s Game 4 at the TD Garden. If that doesn’t change until game time, it will be the largest spread deficit that Golden State has faced since Game 6 of the 2019 Western Conference Finals against the Houston Rockets where they were +7.5 point betting underdogs. But if there’s anything positive about the comparison, it’s that they beat the Rockets outright in that game.

Golden State has won at least one road game in their last 26 playoff series’ played. They have a .625 winning percentage on the road in the postseason under Steve Kerr. The rest of the league is just .385 away from home in the playoffs during that span. However, the Celtics have the Warriors’ number.

Boston is 8-2 in their last 10 games played against Golden State. The Celtics are also 4-2 SU and 4-1-1 ATS in their last six home games played against the Warriors. Boston is also an impressive 15-4 SU in their last 19 home games when favored against Golden State. If there’s any consolation for the Dubs, it’s that the Celtics are just 9-10 ATS during that span. But while ATS victories mean money for bettors, those don’t count in the race to four wins to win the Larry O’Brien Trophy.

Importance of the Game 3 Winner

Wednesday’s game was just one in a seven-game playoff series, but the importance of the Game 3 winner cannot be undermined in the NBA Finals. According to the NBA’s record books, 82.1% of the Game 3 winner after the teams split the first two games of an NBA Finals series has gone on to win the NBA championship. In the last five seasons, that percentage has proven to be correct.

The Bucks won Game 3 last year and they went on to win the series against the Phoenix Suns 4-2. In 2019, the Toronto Raptors also captured Game 3 and went on to beat the Warriors 4-2. Golden State won back-to-back chips in 2017 and 2018 after taking Game 3 of both series so the Warriors know this too well.

We’re not saying that the series is over but right now, the Celtics are a +200 favorite to win the 2022 NBA Finals in six games on the BetOnline App. Boston is also the +300 favorite to win the series in five games, the same odds as Golden State to win the title in seven games. The Celtics winning in Game 7 is listed at +500 while the Dubs winning the next four games has the longest odds at +700.

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