Rafael Nadal Heavy Betting Favorite to Beat Casper Ruud


Nadal Vs Ruud The Odds

  • Rafael Nadal is the heavy 1/5 betting favorite to win a 14th men’s singles title at the French Open.
  • Sportsbooks are also favoring Nadal to beat Casper Ruud in straight sets at +110 odds.
  • Early betting action at BetMGM has Ruud with 64% of the tickets and 49% of the betting handle.

Rafael Nadal heads to Sunday’s French Open men’s singles final as the overwhelming favorite to beat Casper Ruud.

According to the BetOnline App, Nadal is the -500 betting favorite to lift a record-extending 14th title at Roland Garros while Ruud is the +395 bottom dog at the sportsbook’s Moneyline betting market. That doesn’t come as a surprise.

While this marks the first head-to-head meeting between the two players, Nadal’s career resume and his French Open record make him a “sure bet” to win the final.

Nadal Heavy Favorite

Not only is Nadal the heavy 1/5 betting favorite to win the match, but he is also the +110 odds on favorite to beat Ruud in straight sets, a +250 to win in four sets, and a +600 to triumph in five. Meanwhile, Ruud is listed at +1000 to win in either 3, 4, or 5 sets. The BetOnline App also doesn’t think that there will be a tiebreak in the match with the odds listed at -145.

The same sportsbook has the Spaniard at +375 to win the first set 6-3 and a +400 to win the same set at 6-4. Rudd’s shortest odds to win the first set are at +1000 with a score of 6-4. The odds of Nadal blanking Ruud in the opening set is at +2200 while the odds of Ruud doing the same to Nadal is the longest at +8000.

The odds of Nadal winning the first set and the match are at -275 while Rudd is listed at +500 to win the first set and lose the match. Ruud winning the first set and the match is at +600 while Nadal winning the first set and losing the match has the longest current odds at +1000. Meanwhile, second set betting has Nadal as the -275 betting favorite to win and Ruud the +225 bottom dog.

Might the Student Surpass the Teacher on Sunday?

But while the oddsmakers think that the match will be lopsided, bettors believe that the student might surpass the teacher on Sunday. Early betting data from the online sportsbook BetMGM shows that a good number of bettors like the plus money on the 23-year-old Ruud. That’s because 64% of the early betting tickets and 49% of the total betting handle have been wagered on the Norwegian while only 36% of the tickets and 51% of the total money have been bet on the Spaniard.

Nadal will be making his 30th grand slam appearance and he has a record of 21-8 in grand slam finals matches, including an immaculate 13-0 at the French Open. As far as matches in Roland Garros are concerned, Nadal has a spectacular 111-3 record when playing at the French Open. The only players to beat him in France were Robin Soldering in 2009 and Novak Djokovic in 2015 and 2021.





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